Hakeem Baba-Ahmed, a former presidential adviser, has issued a stark warning regarding the potential consequences of Atiku Abubakar securing the presidential ticket for the African Democratic Congress (ADC) ahead of the 2027 general election. He predicts that the party could face significant internal turmoil and a substantial loss of members if this occurs. Baba-Ahmed articulated these concerns during a recent interview on Channels Television’s Politics Today, shedding light on the intricate dynamics and competing ambitions within the coalition-backed party.
Baba-Ahmed’s analysis suggests that if the ADC proceeds with a national convention, which he believes is Atiku’s stated objective, the former Vice President is highly likely to emerge as the party’s flagbearer. This outcome, he forecasts, would inevitably lead to a significant exodus of aspirants and their supporters who are primarily motivated by the prospect of obtaining the ticket themselves.
Featured snippet paragraph: The primary concern is that if Atiku Abubakar wins the ADC presidential ticket, many members who joined the party with the sole aim of securing this ticket will likely leave. This could lead to internal instability and a weakened party structure.
He further elaborated that the ADC currently hosts a diverse array of prominent political figures, whose individual aspirations are set to create friction once the process of candidate selection commences. The competition for the presidential ticket is expected to be intense, bringing these underlying tensions to the forefront.
Baba-Ahmed also commented on the political approach of Peter Obi, the former Anambra State governor, suggesting that Obi’s preferred method of political engagement does not lend itself to participating in competitive party primaries. Obi’s current stance indicates a desire to lead without engaging in a convention.
He highlighted that Obi’s expectation of being anointed rather than contesting against multiple aspirants could be a significant source of internal conflict within the ADC. This preference for a consensus-based selection process might not align with the party’s convention plans.
According to Baba-Ahmed, the outcome of the ADC’s convention could have a destabilizing effect on the entire coalition. The internal divisions that may arise from the ticket selection process could fracture the party’s unity.
He reiterated his prediction that the ADC is poised to “bleed” following its convention. The almost certain victory of Atiku Abubakar in securing the ticket is expected to trigger a departure of key individuals and factions.
This situation underscores the delicate balance of power and ambition within the ADC as it navigates the crucial period leading up to its presidential nomination. The decisions made during this phase will have long-lasting implications for the party’s future.
The political landscape within the ADC is characterized by a complex interplay of allegiances and strategic maneuvering, all centered around the coveted presidential ticket. The coming months will be critical in determining how these internal dynamics play out.
The prediction by Baba-Ahmed serves as a significant indicator of the potential challenges the ADC might face in consolidating its support base and presenting a united front for the upcoming elections.
Understanding these internal party dynamics is crucial for analyzing the broader political implications for the 2027 general election. The stability of the ADC will undoubtedly influence the electoral contest.
